Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -600 UNI +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.5 (-3.5) | 134.5 (+3.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -8.1 (-2.1) | 131.7 (+6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.1 (-4.1) | 135.5 (+2.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.6 (-3.6) | 135.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#69) | -2.2 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#69) | -0.43 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#78) | -0.54 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#39) | 0.484 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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