Colgate
Raiders
92
–
73
FINAL
Conference
PenFed Credit Union Patriot League
Loyola Maryland
Greyhounds
Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -1400 L-MD +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -16.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -14.2 (+4.8) | 145.4 (+19.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -14.4 (+4.6) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -13.8 (+5.2) | 147.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -13.7 (+5.3) | 148.9 (+16.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | -9.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#124) | -1.50 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | -1.87 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#92) | 0.426 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.