Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB -138 JKST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UAPB -2.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -0.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (-11.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -0.2 (-4.2) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -0.9 (-4.9) | 141.2 (-11.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -0.7 (-4.7) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 2-16 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#327) | -8.7 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#347) | -1.28 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#336) | -1.81 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#338) | 0.447 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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