Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -250 RMU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -6.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.0 (+0.0) | 135.4 (+9.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -5.8 (-0.8) | 134.7 (+10.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.1 (-0.1) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.7 (+0.3) | 138.8 (+6.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#179) | -3.9 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#170) | -0.91 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#175) | -0.83 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.460 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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