Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | SPU +163 RID -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -3.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -3.6 (-9.4) | 131.0 (+2.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -2.3 (-10.7) | 127.9 (+5.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.5 (-10.5) | 130.6 (+2.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.5 (-10.5) | 132.3 (+0.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#309) | -1.5 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#306) | -0.44 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#304) | -0.54 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#295) | 0.496 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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