Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -163 WKU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -2.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.1 (-6.1) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.9 (-6.9) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.8 (-6.8) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.1 (-6.1) | 144.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -0.1 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#190) | 0.11 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | -0.08 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#201) | 0.489 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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