Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -400 DETM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -8.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.3 (-3.3) | 159.7 (-22.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.1 (-1.1) | 157.4 (-20.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.4 (-3.4) | 161.1 (-24.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -8.1 (-3.1) | 161.5 (-24.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DETM 76 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | DETM 73 – 68 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YSU 87 – 72 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2024 | YSU 73 – 64 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | YSU 69 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#109) | -1.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#139) | -0.80 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#134) | -0.62 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#125) | 0.473 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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