He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–10 on winners spread MAE 10.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Alabama +11.0 155.0 86% 85–90 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +17.2 151.3 90% 59–88 ✓
Maryland @ Ohio State +1.1 135.4 59% 62–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +10.3 144.1 79% 68–66 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -4.0 140.6 31% 81–88 ✗
Long Island University @ Merrimack +12.7 135.1 87% 76–91 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson +6.6 143.5 76% 75–83 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +3.1 144.3 63% 69–83 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart -1.7 129.6 44% 55–67 ✗
Tulsa @ South Florida +9.6 145.1 87% 56–72 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Joseph's +0.3 145.0 56% 67–83 ✓
Massachusetts @ Duquesne +6.0 144.7 74% 79–88 ✓
George Washington @ Davidson +7.8 151.2 77% 75–70 ✗
Fordham @ George Mason +1.8 137.2 64% 58–64 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +3.7 148.8 65% 65–84 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin -0.9 131.8 42% 64–59 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +7.4 137.6 81% 69–85 ✓
Presbyterian @ Campbell +6.1 128.6 76% 63–68 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +10.5 141.7 86% 60–64 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -3.6 159.0 34% 80–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +11.0 138.9 84% 59–78 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +2.4 145.9 65% 73–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +17.6 150.2 89% 59–99 ✓
Texas @ TCU +1.6 147.7 65% 73–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Gonzaga +24.3 154.8 91% 65–104 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina -2.4 153.8 43% 68–83 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -2.2 146.2 36% 93–88 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +11.1 143.1 86% 64–81 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +4.8 137.1 69% 68–65 ✗
Missouri @ LSU -2.7 148.5 39% 81–76 ✓
Rhode Island @ Loyola Chicago +3.7 135.7 62% 79–77 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah +3.5 149.7 65% 83–78 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -1.0 144.3 47% 56–93 ✗
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +0.1 148.7 50% 54–68 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +7.7 143.2 79% 70–88 ✓
Utah State @ UNLV -1.1 145.0 44% 91–66 ✓
App State @ South Alabama +3.1 131.4 67% 61–68 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +3.3 134.5 65% 62–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +7.3 134.2 79% 59–63 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +15.6 144.7 88% 58–97 ✓
Texas State @ Old Dominion +2.5 128.3 61% 65–36 ✗
Boston University @ Army +1.2 136.8 52% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.