Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +120 SELA -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -4.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -4.5 (-11.5) | 160.7 (-16.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.6 (-12.4) | 159.0 (-15.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.1 (-11.9) | 161.4 (-17.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -3.9 (-12.1) | 161.6 (-17.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#354) | -5.7 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#350) | -0.60 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#350) | -1.09 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#348) | 0.487 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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