Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -1000 LAM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -13.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.8 (-6.8) | 146.7 (-22.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.5 (-6.5) | 141.7 (-17.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.6 (-6.6) | 146.4 (-22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.6 (-6.6) | 147.9 (-23.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#263) | -15.0 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#255) | -2.41 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#254) | -3.24 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#214) | 0.382 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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