Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -600 UIW +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -13.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -12.2 (+4.8) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -11.1 (+5.9) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -11.4 (+5.6) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -11.2 (+5.8) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#211) | -12.1 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | -1.84 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#186) | -2.45 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#128) | 0.408 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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