You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Army Black Knights
71 – 69 OT
FINAL Conference PenFed Credit Union Patriot League
Boston University Terriers
Patriot League · Christl Arena · March 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARMY -2.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money ARMY -154 / BU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARMY win
Actual ARMY +2 140 Won
Massey ARMY -4.9 (-2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 140.4 (-0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ARMY -2.9 (-0.9) 140.3 (-0.3) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ARMY -1.2 (+0.8) 136.8 (+3.2) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ARMY -3.5 (-1.5) 138.4 (+1.6) 64% ✓
Baseline ML ARMY -2.9 (-0.9) 139.2 (+0.8) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 BU 85 – 68 ARMY
Jan 10, 2026 BU 100 – 91 ARMY
Jan 18, 2025 ARMY 68 – 62 BU
Jan 5, 2025 BU 71 – 63 ARMY
Feb 14, 2024 ARMY 65 – 50 BU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARMY BU
Overall 17-16 15-17
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 10-5 9-4
Away 7-8 6-11
Neutral 0-3 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.4 66.2
Avg Pts Against 71.0 67.7
Massey -4.1 (#241) -5.5 (#264)
Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#274) -0.99 (#267)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#267) -1.34 (#275)
RPI 0.455 (#267) 0.467 (#251)
Shooting & Four Factors ARMY BU
FG% 47.4% 41.0%
3PT% 35.3% 32.8%
REB / G 33.4 35.2
OREB / G 8.1 10.5
AST / TO 0.96 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 47.3%
TOV% 19.2% 18.2%
ORB% 26.4% 29.4%
FT Rate 21.5% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 18.5%
DRB% 75.4% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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