Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -1200 UTA +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -11.5 (+7.5) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -11.0 (+8.0) | 138.9 (-1.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.6 (+7.4) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -11.5 (+7.5) | 137.2 (-0.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 12-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#87) | -4.1 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#57) | -0.57 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#59) | -0.74 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#51) | 0.463 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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