Saint Francis
Red Wolves
83
–
69
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA -163 CCSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -3.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -2.1 (+11.9) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -3.1 (+10.9) | 144.3 (+7.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -2.0 (+12.0) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -2.2 (+11.8) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCSU 98 – 90 SFPA |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SFPA 46 – 43 CCSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CCSU 83 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCSU 74 – 59 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#335) | -10.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#336) | -2.20 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#347) | -2.65 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#317) | 0.413 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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