Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UK -500 VAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -10.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -10.3 (-12.3) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -10.3 (-12.3) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -10.1 (-12.1) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -9.7 (-11.7) | 148.3 (-14.3) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#25) | 5.9 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#23) | 1.41 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#26) | 1.53 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#33) | 0.571 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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