Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -138 USI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -1.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.7 (+13.3) | 153.1 (-31.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.1 (+13.9) | 148.7 (-26.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.9 (+13.1) | 151.2 (-29.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.8 (+13.2) | 151.3 (-29.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#230) | -5.0 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#237) | -0.97 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#251) | -1.22 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.462 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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