Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | NU -213 PSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -4.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.7 (-7.7) | 135.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.8 (-7.8) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -4.6 (-7.6) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -5.2 (-8.2) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | 9.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#34) | 1.47 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#44) | 2.06 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#61) | 0.539 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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