What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–9 on winners spread MAE 8.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Virginia +5.9 123.5 73% 57–64 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +5.1 151.1 62% 90–68 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +4.1 127.7 70% 59–64 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +5.1 141.2 77% 69–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +12.9 140.2 88% 64–67 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +15.8 148.2 90% 57–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +4.3 149.9 71% 68–81 ✓
Bellarmine @ Liberty +14.7 132.7 89% 56–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +5.1 151.5 76% 48–73 ✓
Queens University @ Kennesaw State +4.3 149.9 77% 66–67 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.2 153.5 62% 83–70 ✗
NC State @ Duke +7.3 142.1 77% 67–71 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +7.7 147.1 76% 96–76 ✗
Boston College @ Wake Forest +10.4 146.9 82% 71–69 ✗
NJIT @ New Hampshire +6.0 135.4 77% 58–59 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton -1.3 144.6 41% 70–67 ✓
Bryant @ Maine -2.9 146.6 43% 64–66 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +17.1 144.6 89% 61–79 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -4.1 146.8 34% 77–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +5.9 141.7 74% 67–79 ✓
La Salle @ Dayton +14.1 135.6 85% 53–77 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -11.1 149.9 14% 99–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +4.0 156.4 68% 68–88 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +8.7 146.8 83% 75–82 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan +0.3 141.9 48% 77–62 ✗
Ball State @ Akron +6.7 143.5 79% 83–87 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -1.3 152.4 43% 85–75 ✓
Georgia State @ Texas State +2.8 130.4 67% 76–81 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +2.7 128.8 59% 76–72 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas +9.1 146.0 81% 63–67 ✓
Arkansas @ Tennessee +7.6 131.0 80% 57–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +2.0 135.1 63% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss -4.9 134.3 29% 69–61 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville -11.2 144.0 17% 71–54 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska -2.5 140.5 38% 80–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +13.3 134.4 87% 68–74 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +8.9 141.1 82% 80–94 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State +2.4 133.1 65% 46–63 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +0.9 147.3 54% 72–70 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +2.8 158.4 61% 94–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.