Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -350 UNA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +25 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -7.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.9 (+20.1) | 154.8 (-33.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -5.1 (+19.9) | 151.5 (-30.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.9 (+20.1) | 153.0 (-32.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -4.3 (+20.7) | 153.9 (-32.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNA 84 – 78 EKU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EKU 88 – 80 UNA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNA 88 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | EKU 75 – 72 UNA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | EKU 81 – 72 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#200) | -5.2 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#130) | 0.12 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | -0.26 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#114) | 0.504 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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