Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNA +150 EKU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -4.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -2.2 (-11.2) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -1.5 (-10.5) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -2.0 (-11.0) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.6 (-11.6) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNA 84 – 78 EKU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EKU 88 – 80 UNA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNA 88 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | EKU 75 – 72 UNA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | EKU 73 – 48 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#249) | -4.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#296) | -1.09 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#285) | -1.48 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#256) | 0.449 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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