Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -250 UNA +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -6.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 140.8 (+27.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -4.0 (+4.0) | 141.4 (+26.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 138.2 (+29.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 139.7 (+28.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNA 84 – 78 EKU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNA 88 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | EKU 75 – 72 UNA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | EKU 81 – 72 UNA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | EKU 73 – 48 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -9.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#283) | -1.56 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#282) | -2.10 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#234) | 0.425 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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