Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -275 UNA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -5.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.8 (-1.8) | 155.4 (-8.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -6.3 (-3.3) | 152.7 (-5.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.0 (-2.0) | 152.0 (-5.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -4.5 (-1.5) | 153.9 (-6.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNA 84 – 78 EKU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EKU 88 – 80 UNA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNA 88 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | EKU 81 – 72 UNA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | EKU 73 – 48 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#212) | -4.6 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#193) | -0.68 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#209) | -0.84 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#169) | 0.461 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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