American University
Eagles
64
–
59
FINAL
Conference
PenFed Credit Union Patriot League
Bucknell
Bison
Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | AMER -225 BUCK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -5.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -4.7 (+0.3) | 131.2 (-8.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -4.1 (+0.9) | 127.7 (-4.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -3.7 (+1.3) | 133.0 (-10.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -4.3 (+0.7) | 133.4 (-10.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | AMER 75 – 57 BUCK |
| Feb 5, 2026 | BUCK 60 – 59 AMER |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BUCK 71 – 49 AMER |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMER 68 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 8, 2024 | BUCK 80 – 57 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#266) | -7.3 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#261) | -1.64 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#280) | -1.96 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#277) | 0.417 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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