Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +105 FLA -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -4.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -3.4 (-6.6) | 147.6 (-3.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -4.1 (-5.9) | 146.8 (-2.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -2.8 (-7.2) | 146.4 (-2.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -3.7 (-6.3) | 146.9 (-2.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#158) | 9.0 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#99) | 1.18 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#99) | 1.54 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#143) | 0.540 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.