Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BING +125 UMBC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -0.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -0.5 (-2.5) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -1.3 (-1.7) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -0.2 (-2.8) | 147.2 (-10.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -0.1 (-2.9) | 149.5 (-12.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#303) | -3.8 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#286) | -0.55 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#306) | -0.80 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#263) | 0.472 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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