Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -163 PFW +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -5.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -4.9 (+8.1) | 152.6 (-3.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -4.3 (+8.7) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -4.3 (+8.7) | 150.9 (-1.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -4.1 (+8.9) | 153.0 (-4.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#206) | -3.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#252) | -0.48 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#231) | -0.65 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#244) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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