What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
America East Conference · Lundholm Gymnasium · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNH -6.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money UNH -275 / NJIT +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNH win
Actual UNH +1 117 Won
Massey UNH -6.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 130.9 (-13.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNH -5.1 (-4.1) 136.6 (-19.6) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -6.0 (-5.0) 135.4 (-18.4) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNH -4.5 (-3.5) 133.9 (-16.9) 69% ✓
Baseline ML UNH -4.5 (-3.5) 134.4 (-17.4) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 NJIT 76 – 70 UNH
Jan 9, 2026 NJIT 80 – 76 UNH
Feb 8, 2025 UNH 80 – 69 NJIT
Jan 18, 2025 NJIT 64 – 59 UNH
Feb 23, 2024 UNH 83 – 78 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNH NJIT
Overall 15-15 7-23
Conference 9-7 4-12
Home 11-4 5-8
Away 4-11 2-15
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 64.6 66.5
Avg Pts Against 68.0 73.5
Massey -6.9 (#288) -9.5 (#328)
Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#255) -2.12 (#345)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.13 (#259) -2.34 (#335)
RPI 0.464 (#253) 0.399 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors UNH NJIT
FG% 39.3% 42.7%
3PT% 33.7% 35.2%
REB / G 35.3 33.2
OREB / G 9.8 8.5
AST / TO 1.11 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 48.4%
TOV% 15.6% 16.0%
ORB% 26.0% 23.8%
FT Rate 19.5% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 15.3%
DRB% 72.7% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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