Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -2000 UALB +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -17.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -15.8 (+2.2) | 146.6 (-6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -17.1 (+0.9) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -15.6 (+2.4) | 147.1 (-7.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -16.0 (+2.0) | 148.4 (-8.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | UVM 69 – 56 UALB |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UALB 75 – 68 UVM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UVM 79 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UVM 68 – 62 UALB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVM 75 – 72 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 3-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | -11.4 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#118) | -2.14 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#135) | -2.52 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#46) | 0.405 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.