You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Wright State Raiders
77 – 57
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Green Bay Phoenix
Horizon League · Nutter Center · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -19.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money WRST -2500 / GB +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +20 134 Won
Massey WRST -21.5 (-1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 145.8 (-11.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -16.2 (+3.8) 147.0 (-13.0) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -15.8 (+4.2) 148.2 (-14.2) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -16.2 (+3.8) 149.4 (-15.4) 90% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -17.0 (+3.0) 150.0 (-16.0) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 79 – 68 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 74 – 51 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST GB
Overall 18-15 3-29
Conference 10-10 2-18
Home 9-6 2-10
Away 7-8 1-17
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 78.3 59.3
Avg Pts Against 74.7 76.5
Massey -0.1 (#169) -18.0 (#361)
Bradley-Terry -0.50 (#228) -2.99 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#215) -3.87 (#361)
RPI 0.475 (#230) 0.369 (#360)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST GB
FG% 48.9% 39.5%
3PT% 34.9% 30.0%
REB / G 36.3 28.5
OREB / G 8.9 7.5
AST / TO 1.15 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 46.0%
TOV% 17.4% 21.4%
ORB% 26.0% 22.2%
FT Rate 18.0% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 16.0%
DRB% 73.2% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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