Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -154 SDSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.1 (+3.9) | 137.3 (-11.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.0 (+4.0) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.8 (+3.2) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -1.8 (+4.2) | 137.1 (-11.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#31) | 13.2 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#27) | 2.63 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#25) | 2.99 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#20) | 0.631 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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