Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -150 EMU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +20 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -5.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.9 (+16.1) | 156.0 (-0.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.0 (+16.0) | 156.4 (-0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.4 (+15.6) | 155.0 (+1.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.3 (+15.7) | 156.4 (-0.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | -8.4 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#307) | -1.53 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#293) | -1.82 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#321) | 0.419 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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