I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
High Point Panthers
70 – 72
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires Big South
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Big South Conference · Bojangles Coliseum (Neutral) · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread HPU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money HPU -150 / CHSO +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total HPU win
Actual CHSO +2 142 Lost
Massey CHSO -0.6 (-1.4) — —
Massey Totals — 153.4 (-11.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HPU -0.0 (-2.0) 148.9 (-6.9) 49% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HPU -0.9 (-2.9) 147.3 (-5.3) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HPU -0.2 (-2.2) 147.6 (-5.6) 52% ✗
Baseline ML HPU -0.4 (-2.4) 148.4 (-6.4) 50% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 HPU 80 – 55 CHSO
Jan 10, 2026 HPU 84 – 82 CHSO
Feb 20, 2025 HPU 83 – 60 CHSO
Jan 9, 2025 HPU 93 – 79 CHSO
Feb 24, 2024 HPU 74 – 59 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HPU CHSO
Overall 14-17 10-21
Conference 6-12 5-13
Home 10-5 6-8
Away 2-11 3-12
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 70.4
Avg Pts Against 77.2 75.4
Massey -7.6 (#301) -7.0 (#293)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#265) -1.78 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#278) -1.94 (#318)
RPI 0.455 (#268) 0.414 (#332)
Shooting & Four Factors HPU CHSO
FG% 44.1% 43.8%
3PT% 32.5% 34.5%
REB / G 37.1 33.3
OREB / G 11.2 11.3
AST / TO 0.87 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 50.7%
TOV% 19.7% 18.1%
ORB% 30.8% 32.4%
FT Rate 24.3% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 16.8%
DRB% 68.2% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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