The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Robert Morris Colonials
67 – 64
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money RMU -1000 / IUIN +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +3 131 Won
Massey RMU -16.6 (-13.6) — —
Massey Totals — 135.7 (-4.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -14.8 (-11.8) 139.6 (-8.6) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -12.9 (-9.9) 140.2 (-9.2) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -13.3 (-10.3) 142.6 (-11.6) 89% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -13.7 (-10.7) 144.3 (-13.3) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 RMU 74 – 58 IUIN
Jan 15, 2026 IUIN 96 – 93 RMU
Feb 27, 2025 RMU 82 – 68 IUIN
Jan 31, 2025 RMU 106 – 53 IUIN
Jan 20, 2024 RMU 80 – 63 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU IUIN
Overall 16-17 5-27
Conference 10-10 2-18
Home 11-4 4-9
Away 5-10 0-15
Neutral 0-3 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.5 65.2
Avg Pts Against 67.7 78.6
Massey -3.5 (#227) -16.6 (#360)
Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#259) -3.18 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.84 (#244) -3.69 (#360)
RPI 0.454 (#272) 0.354 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU IUIN
FG% 43.7% 45.4%
3PT% 31.6% 29.5%
REB / G 34.3 30.8
OREB / G 10.2 9.1
AST / TO 1.01 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 49.7%
TOV% 19.7% 23.2%
ORB% 29.7% 28.8%
FT Rate 18.9% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.9%
DRB% 71.7% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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