Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ME +150 BRY -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -1.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -0.9 (+2.9) | 147.9 (-17.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -2.9 (+4.9) | 146.6 (-16.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.2 (+3.2) | 146.4 (-16.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.1 (+3.1) | 149.4 (-19.4) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#268) | -0.9 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#273) | -0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#271) | -0.39 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#257) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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