Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +115 VILL -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -3.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -2.8 (-6.8) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.7 (-6.7) | 128.8 (+19.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.7 (-6.7) | 130.1 (+17.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -3.2 (-7.2) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 7.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#72) | 1.07 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#77) | 1.45 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.527 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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