Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -300 SLU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.1 (+5.9) | 143.9 (+2.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.9 (+6.1) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -6.5 (+5.5) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.3 (+5.7) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#78) | 4.3 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#62) | 1.07 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#69) | 1.24 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#35) | 0.575 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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