Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -333 LIN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -5.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -4.7 (+14.3) | 152.8 (-3.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.7 (+15.3) | 148.8 (+0.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -4.8 (+14.2) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -4.8 (+14.2) | 151.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#266) | -11.3 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#260) | -1.87 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#268) | -2.28 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#215) | 0.409 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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