Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -5000 GTWN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +40 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -20.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -16.9 (+23.1) | 150.1 (+7.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -17.6 (+22.4) | 150.2 (+7.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -16.5 (+23.5) | 147.9 (+10.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -17.6 (+22.4) | 149.2 (+8.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#14) | -2.0 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#46) | -0.81 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#32) | -0.82 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#52) | 0.435 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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