Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -115 UCF -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +2 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -1.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -2.3 (+4.3) | 137.9 (-25.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -3.2 (+5.2) | 139.2 (-27.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -3.2 (+5.2) | 140.6 (-28.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -2.4 (+4.4) | 141.9 (-29.9) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | TEM 77 – 70 UCF |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TEM 66 – 62 UCF |
| Dec 16, 2021 | UCF 65 – 48 TEM |
| Jan 14, 2021 | TEM 62 – 55 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | 8.7 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#129) | 0.86 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#130) | 1.21 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#134) | 0.537 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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