Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | UCF -650 TEM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UCF -11.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -9.9 (-13.9) | 136.9 (-8.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -8.9 (-12.9) | 137.0 (-9.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -9.6 (-13.6) | 137.3 (-9.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -9.8 (-13.8) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | TEM 57 – 55 UCF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TEM 77 – 70 UCF |
| Dec 16, 2021 | UCF 65 – 48 TEM |
| Jan 14, 2021 | TEM 62 – 55 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#54) | 1.4 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#54) | 0.52 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#51) | 0.39 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#57) | 0.511 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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