Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +17 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | UCF -2.4 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -1.5 (-15.5) | 137.2 (-24.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -1.7 (-15.3) | 135.0 (-22.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -1.2 (-15.8) | 139.8 (-26.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -1.3 (-15.7) | 138.0 (-25.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | TEM 57 – 55 UCF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TEM 77 – 70 UCF |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TEM 66 – 62 UCF |
| Jan 14, 2021 | TEM 62 – 55 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#173) | 7.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#132) | 1.60 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#160) | 2.36 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#121) | 0.550 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.