Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +140 UCF -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +7 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -4.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -1.6 (+8.6) | 135.0 (-18.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -0.7 (+7.7) | 135.8 (-18.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -1.5 (+8.5) | 137.9 (-20.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -2.0 (+9.0) | 136.6 (-19.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | TEM 57 – 55 UCF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TEM 77 – 70 UCF |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TEM 66 – 62 UCF |
| Dec 16, 2021 | UCF 65 – 48 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 3-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | 7.1 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#191) | 1.97 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#179) | 3.07 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#125) | 0.619 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.