Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | MILW +120 WRST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +17 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -0.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.7 (+16.3) | 160.2 (-3.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.3 (+17.3) | 160.5 (-3.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.5 (+15.5) | 159.2 (-2.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.0 (+16.0) | 159.1 (-2.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#227) | -0.1 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#164) | -0.50 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#182) | -0.46 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.479 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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