Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LT -200 FIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LT -7.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -6.0 (-5.0) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.5 (-6.5) | 143.1 (+9.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -5.5 (-4.5) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -5.1 (-4.1) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#156) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#192) | -0.34 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#188) | -0.68 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#194) | 0.467 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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