UNC Asheville
Bulldogs
75
–
66
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big South
Charleston Southern
Buccaneers
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -9.0 Push |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -8.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -7.7 (+1.3) | 141.0 (+0.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -7.6 (+1.4) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -8.4 (+0.6) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -7.9 (+1.1) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#148) | -7.0 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#102) | -1.64 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | -1.86 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#76) | 0.423 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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