Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -700 CSUB +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -11.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -8.3 (+7.7) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -9.7 (+6.3) | 141.7 (-3.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -9.5 (+6.5) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -9.4 (+6.6) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#155) | -6.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#161) | -1.31 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#148) | -1.45 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#132) | 0.426 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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