Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +230 UMES -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -5.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -5.5 (-0.5) | 137.3 (-15.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -4.7 (-1.3) | 136.2 (-14.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -6.0 (+0.0) | 137.5 (-15.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -6.0 (-0.0) | 138.2 (-16.2) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#353) | -4.6 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#342) | -0.11 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#353) | -0.33 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#339) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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