Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MORG -138 COPP +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -8.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.9 (-17.9) | 152.6 (-10.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -5.5 (-17.5) | 152.9 (-10.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -6.2 (-18.2) | 152.1 (-10.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -6.8 (-18.8) | 152.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#296) | -12.0 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#235) | -1.31 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#252) | -1.77 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#175) | 0.450 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.