Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -275 USD +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +18 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -2.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.7 (+16.3) | 157.8 (+8.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -1.9 (+16.1) | 157.7 (+8.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.9 (+16.1) | 160.7 (+5.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -2.5 (+15.5) | 158.9 (+7.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#165) | -2.4 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#194) | -0.77 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#169) | -0.60 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#232) | 0.455 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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