Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +280 HAW -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +26 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -7.3 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -6.7 (-19.3) | 131.3 (+4.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.7 (-17.3) | 130.0 (+6.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -8.1 (-17.9) | 129.2 (+6.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.0 (-19.0) | 130.2 (+5.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-5 |
| Away | 0-14 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#310) | 2.4 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#349) | 0.46 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#340) | 0.87 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#358) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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